# Load Packages
library(dslabs)
library(tidyverse)── Attaching packages ─────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse 1.3.2 ──
✔ ggplot2 3.4.0 ✔ purrr 1.0.1
✔ tibble 3.1.8 ✔ dplyr 1.0.10
✔ tidyr 1.2.1 ✔ stringr 1.5.0
✔ readr 2.1.3 ✔ forcats 0.5.2
── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
✖ dplyr::lag() masks stats::lag()# Check the Help File for Gapminder
help(gapminder)starting httpd help server ... done# Data Structure
str(gapminder)'data.frame': 10545 obs. of 9 variables:
$ country : Factor w/ 185 levels "Albania","Algeria",..: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ...
$ year : int 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 ...
$ infant_mortality: num 115.4 148.2 208 NA 59.9 ...
$ life_expectancy : num 62.9 47.5 36 63 65.4 ...
$ fertility : num 6.19 7.65 7.32 4.43 3.11 4.55 4.82 3.45 2.7 5.57 ...
$ population : num 1636054 11124892 5270844 54681 20619075 ...
$ gdp : num NA 1.38e+10 NA NA 1.08e+11 ...
$ continent : Factor w/ 5 levels "Africa","Americas",..: 4 1 1 2 2 3 2 5 4 3 ...
$ region : Factor w/ 22 levels "Australia and New Zealand",..: 19 11 10 2 15 21 2 1 22 21 ...# Data Summary
summary(gapminder) country year infant_mortality life_expectancy
Albania : 57 Min. :1960 Min. : 1.50 Min. :13.20
Algeria : 57 1st Qu.:1974 1st Qu.: 16.00 1st Qu.:57.50
Angola : 57 Median :1988 Median : 41.50 Median :67.54
Antigua and Barbuda: 57 Mean :1988 Mean : 55.31 Mean :64.81
Argentina : 57 3rd Qu.:2002 3rd Qu.: 85.10 3rd Qu.:73.00
Armenia : 57 Max. :2016 Max. :276.90 Max. :83.90
(Other) :10203 NA's :1453
fertility population gdp continent
Min. :0.840 Min. :3.124e+04 Min. :4.040e+07 Africa :2907
1st Qu.:2.200 1st Qu.:1.333e+06 1st Qu.:1.846e+09 Americas:2052
Median :3.750 Median :5.009e+06 Median :7.794e+09 Asia :2679
Mean :4.084 Mean :2.701e+07 Mean :1.480e+11 Europe :2223
3rd Qu.:6.000 3rd Qu.:1.523e+07 3rd Qu.:5.540e+10 Oceania : 684
Max. :9.220 Max. :1.376e+09 Max. :1.174e+13
NA's :187 NA's :185 NA's :2972
region
Western Asia :1026
Eastern Africa : 912
Western Africa : 912
Caribbean : 741
South America : 684
Southern Europe: 684
(Other) :5586 # Class
class(gapminder)[1] "data.frame"# Assign African Countries to a New Object
africadata <- gapminder %>% filter(continent == "Africa")
## Find Missing Values in Infant Mortality
years_of_na_infant_mortality <- africadata %>% select(year, infant_mortality) %>% filter(is.na(infant_mortality) == TRUE) %>% group_by(year) %>% count()
unique(years_of_na_infant_mortality$year) [1] 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
[16] 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 2016# Checking New Object Structure and Summary
str(africadata)'data.frame': 2907 obs. of 9 variables:
$ country : Factor w/ 185 levels "Albania","Algeria",..: 2 3 18 22 26 27 29 31 32 33 ...
$ year : int 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 1960 ...
$ infant_mortality: num 148 208 187 116 161 ...
$ life_expectancy : num 47.5 36 38.3 50.3 35.2 ...
$ fertility : num 7.65 7.32 6.28 6.62 6.29 6.95 5.65 6.89 5.84 6.25 ...
$ population : num 11124892 5270844 2431620 524029 4829291 ...
$ gdp : num 1.38e+10 NA 6.22e+08 1.24e+08 5.97e+08 ...
$ continent : Factor w/ 5 levels "Africa","Americas",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ region : Factor w/ 22 levels "Australia and New Zealand",..: 11 10 20 17 20 5 10 20 10 10 ...summary(africadata) country year infant_mortality life_expectancy
Algeria : 57 Min. :1960 Min. : 11.40 Min. :13.20
Angola : 57 1st Qu.:1974 1st Qu.: 62.20 1st Qu.:48.23
Benin : 57 Median :1988 Median : 93.40 Median :53.98
Botswana : 57 Mean :1988 Mean : 95.12 Mean :54.38
Burkina Faso: 57 3rd Qu.:2002 3rd Qu.:124.70 3rd Qu.:60.10
Burundi : 57 Max. :2016 Max. :237.40 Max. :77.60
(Other) :2565 NA's :226
fertility population gdp continent
Min. :1.500 Min. : 41538 Min. :4.659e+07 Africa :2907
1st Qu.:5.160 1st Qu.: 1605232 1st Qu.:8.373e+08 Americas: 0
Median :6.160 Median : 5570982 Median :2.448e+09 Asia : 0
Mean :5.851 Mean : 12235961 Mean :9.346e+09 Europe : 0
3rd Qu.:6.860 3rd Qu.: 13888152 3rd Qu.:6.552e+09 Oceania : 0
Max. :8.450 Max. :182201962 Max. :1.935e+11
NA's :51 NA's :51 NA's :637
region
Eastern Africa :912
Western Africa :912
Middle Africa :456
Northern Africa :342
Southern Africa :285
Australia and New Zealand: 0
(Other) : 0 # Making New Datasets for Infant Mortality + Life Expectancy (IMLE) & Population + Life Expectancy (PLE)
IMLE <- africadata %>% select(infant_mortality, life_expectancy)
PLE <- africadata %>% select(population, life_expectancy)
# Checking IMLE and PLE Structure and Summaries
## Structure
str(IMLE)'data.frame': 2907 obs. of 2 variables:
$ infant_mortality: num 148 208 187 116 161 ...
$ life_expectancy : num 47.5 36 38.3 50.3 35.2 ...str(PLE)'data.frame': 2907 obs. of 2 variables:
$ population : num 11124892 5270844 2431620 524029 4829291 ...
$ life_expectancy: num 47.5 36 38.3 50.3 35.2 ...## Summary
summary(IMLE) infant_mortality life_expectancy
Min. : 11.40 Min. :13.20
1st Qu.: 62.20 1st Qu.:48.23
Median : 93.40 Median :53.98
Mean : 95.12 Mean :54.38
3rd Qu.:124.70 3rd Qu.:60.10
Max. :237.40 Max. :77.60
NA's :226 summary(PLE) population life_expectancy
Min. : 41538 Min. :13.20
1st Qu.: 1605232 1st Qu.:48.23
Median : 5570982 Median :53.98
Mean : 12235961 Mean :54.38
3rd Qu.: 13888152 3rd Qu.:60.10
Max. :182201962 Max. :77.60
NA's :51 # IMLE: Infant Mortality vs Life Expectancy
ggplot(IMLE, aes(x = infant_mortality, y = life_expectancy)) + geom_point() + labs(x = "Infant Mortality", y = "Life Expectancy", title = "Infant Mortality vs Life Expectancy for African Nations")Warning: Removed 226 rows containing missing values (`geom_point()`).
# PLE
ggplot(PLE, aes(x = population, y = life_expectancy)) + geom_point() + scale_x_log10() + labs(x = "Population (Log10)", y = "Life Expectancy", title = "Population (Log10) vs Life Expectancy for African Nations")Warning: Removed 51 rows containing missing values (`geom_point()`).
# Make New Object to House Year 2000 Data
data_2000 <- africadata %>% filter(year == 2000)
# Check Structure and Summary
str(data_2000)'data.frame': 51 obs. of 9 variables:
$ country : Factor w/ 185 levels "Albania","Algeria",..: 2 3 18 22 26 27 29 31 32 33 ...
$ year : int 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 ...
$ infant_mortality: num 33.9 128.3 89.3 52.4 96.2 ...
$ life_expectancy : num 73.3 52.3 57.2 47.6 52.6 46.7 54.3 68.4 45.3 51.5 ...
$ fertility : num 2.51 6.84 5.98 3.41 6.59 7.06 5.62 3.7 5.45 7.35 ...
$ population : num 31183658 15058638 6949366 1736579 11607944 ...
$ gdp : num 5.48e+10 9.13e+09 2.25e+09 5.63e+09 2.61e+09 ...
$ continent : Factor w/ 5 levels "Africa","Americas",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
$ region : Factor w/ 22 levels "Australia and New Zealand",..: 11 10 20 17 20 5 10 20 10 10 ...summary(data_2000) country year infant_mortality life_expectancy
Algeria : 1 Min. :2000 Min. : 12.30 Min. :37.60
Angola : 1 1st Qu.:2000 1st Qu.: 60.80 1st Qu.:51.75
Benin : 1 Median :2000 Median : 80.30 Median :54.30
Botswana : 1 Mean :2000 Mean : 78.93 Mean :56.36
Burkina Faso: 1 3rd Qu.:2000 3rd Qu.:103.30 3rd Qu.:60.00
Burundi : 1 Max. :2000 Max. :143.30 Max. :75.00
(Other) :45
fertility population gdp continent
Min. :1.990 Min. : 81154 Min. :2.019e+08 Africa :51
1st Qu.:4.150 1st Qu.: 2304687 1st Qu.:1.274e+09 Americas: 0
Median :5.550 Median : 8799165 Median :3.238e+09 Asia : 0
Mean :5.156 Mean : 15659800 Mean :1.155e+10 Europe : 0
3rd Qu.:5.960 3rd Qu.: 17391242 3rd Qu.:8.654e+09 Oceania : 0
Max. :7.730 Max. :122876723 Max. :1.329e+11
region
Eastern Africa :16
Western Africa :16
Middle Africa : 8
Northern Africa : 6
Southern Africa : 5
Australia and New Zealand: 0
(Other) : 0 # Reevaluating Previous Plots
IMLE <- data_2000 %>% select(infant_mortality, life_expectancy)
PLE <- data_2000 %>% select(population, life_expectancy)
## IMLE: Infant Mortality vs Life Expectancy
ggplot(IMLE, aes(x = infant_mortality, y = life_expectancy)) + geom_point() + labs(x = "Infant Mortality", y = "Life Expectancy", title = "Infant Mortality vs Life Expectancy for African Nations in 2000")
## PLE
ggplot(PLE, aes(x = population, y = life_expectancy)) + geom_point() + scale_x_log10() + labs(x = "Population (Log10)", y = "Life Expectancy", title = "Population (Log10) vs Life Expectancy for African Nations in 2000")
# Fitting a Simple Model
fit1 <- lm(life_expectancy ~ infant_mortality, data = data_2000)
fit2 <- lm(life_expectancy ~ population, data = data_2000)
# Summary of Models
summary(fit1)
Call:
lm(formula = life_expectancy ~ infant_mortality, data = data_2000)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-22.6651 -3.7087 0.9914 4.0408 8.6817
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 71.29331 2.42611 29.386 < 2e-16 ***
infant_mortality -0.18916 0.02869 -6.594 2.83e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 6.221 on 49 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.4701, Adjusted R-squared: 0.4593
F-statistic: 43.48 on 1 and 49 DF, p-value: 2.826e-08summary(fit2)
Call:
lm(formula = life_expectancy ~ population, data = data_2000)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-18.429 -4.602 -2.568 3.800 18.802
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 5.593e+01 1.468e+00 38.097 <2e-16 ***
population 2.756e-08 5.459e-08 0.505 0.616
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Residual standard error: 8.524 on 49 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.005176, Adjusted R-squared: -0.01513
F-statistic: 0.2549 on 1 and 49 DF, p-value: 0.6159According to the first model, infant mortality is a significant predictor (p < 0.001) on life expectancy for African nations. In contrast, population is not a significant predictor (p = 0.616) for life expectancy in the second model.
Hi! This section added by Katie Wells.
Continued analysis of the dataset
## Comparing fertility and infant mortality for the 2000 dataset
ggplot(data_2000, aes(x = infant_mortality, y = fertility)) + geom_point() + labs(x = "Infant Mortality", y = "Fertility", title = "Infant Mortality vs Fertility for African Nations in 2000")
## Comparing population size and fertility for the 2000 dataset
ggplot(data_2000, aes(x = population, y = fertility)) + geom_point() + scale_x_log10() + labs(x = "Population (Log10)", y = "Fertility", title = "Population (Log10) vs Fertility for African Nations in 2000")
There appears to be a positive correlation between infant mortality and fertility but no strong correlation between fertility and population size.
## load packages
library("broom")## Fitting fertility against population and infant mortality in a linear model
fit3 <- lm(fertility ~ population, data = data_2000)
fit4 <- lm(fertility ~ infant_mortality, data = data_2000)
## show fit output as a table
tidy(fit3)# A tibble: 2 × 5
term estimate std.error statistic p.value
<chr> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
1 (Intercept) 5.09 0.253 20.1 2.43e-25
2 population 0.00000000447 0.00000000939 0.476 6.36e- 1tidy(fit4)# A tibble: 2 × 5
term estimate std.error statistic p.value
<chr> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
1 (Intercept) 2.06 0.323 6.38 6.08e- 8
2 infant_mortality 0.0392 0.00382 10.3 8.38e-14The fit of first model shows that infant mortality is a significant predictor (p < 0.001) on fertility for African nations. In contrast, population is not a significant predictor (p = 0.064) for fertility in the second model.